What is the
2016 Sturm Draft Project?
It is the
effort to do our normal due diligence to get to know the top players in the NFL
Draft. We have done this for every
draft for a long, long time, but we have focused our efforts to try to do our
own homework since 2011 with our own study and analysis.
Yes, this
could be considered faulty based on our normal opening paragraph:
I have never been a scout
or a NFL General Manager, but I am willing to watch a ton of football. By
watching about 200 snaps of each prospect, we can really get a feel for a
player and then know what we are talking about a bit better. It is no exact
science, but the NFL hasn't quite figured out drafting either, so we are going
to do the best we can.
Bob, How do you pick which players to profile?
Bob, How do you pick which players to profile?
My
aim is to get through as many players as possible with the goal of 4 per
week. Last year we got through
75-80 players, but most year’s (including this one, I believe, it will be 50). I talk to scouts and absolutely use opinions of smart draft people to cast a wide net.
This
won’t be the Top 50 players – because nobody knows who that will be until the
draft happens. Rather, it will be
our best guess of guys who are in the mix for the Cowboys 3 picks in this draft
at #4, #34, and #67.
I
will break them down in no particular order and eventually I will stack them up
in a mini-board like the one we ended up with in 2015.
One
prospect a day, using at least 3 full-length games of at least 200 total
snaps. If time permits, I will try
a 2nd pass on candidates for #4 to get that snap total up to
400.
Bob, how do you pick which games to use?
I am happy you asked. Well, I have about 200 games available on my hard drive from 2015 and 200 more from 2014. I pick from what I have, but I generally am looking for the 3 hardest opponents on hand. That could mean a program or it could mean that I want to see them play against another draft prospect. Watching guys play against substandard competition does not help when trying to project a player at the NFL level. There are several prospects from previous years that put up their numbers against their worst 5 opponents. That isn't very useful for this project.
Bob, how do you pick which games to use?
I am happy you asked. Well, I have about 200 games available on my hard drive from 2015 and 200 more from 2014. I pick from what I have, but I generally am looking for the 3 hardest opponents on hand. That could mean a program or it could mean that I want to see them play against another draft prospect. Watching guys play against substandard competition does not help when trying to project a player at the NFL level. There are several prospects from previous years that put up their numbers against their worst 5 opponents. That isn't very useful for this project.
We
might disagree on players, but that is what this is all about. Don’t take other people’s word for a
player. Do your own work. Look at the players yourself and form
your own opinion. Or let me do it
and tell me what you think.
Enjoy
the draft season and if the Cowboys do it right, they won’t have to pick so
high next year!
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