Wednesday, November 02, 2016

Marinelli Report - Week 7 - Eagles

http://sportsday.dallasnews.com/dallas-cowboys/cowboys/2016/11/02/sturms-marinelli-report-sean-lee-tyrone-crawford-step



Dallas Cowboys defensive tackle Cedric Thornton (92) and defensive end Tyrone Crawford (98) sack Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz (11) in the fourth quarter with outside linebacker Sean Lee (50) nearby during a National Football League game between the Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas Sunday October 30, 2016. The Dallas Cowboys beat the Philadelphia Eagles 29-23 in overtime. (Andy Jacobsohn/The Dallas Morning News)
Staff Photographer
Dallas Cowboys defensive tackle Cedric Thornton (92) and defensive end Tyrone Crawford (98) sack Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz (11) in the fourth quarter with outside linebacker Sean Lee (50) nearby during a National Football League game between the Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas Sunday October 30, 2016. The Dallas Cowboys beat the Philadelphia Eagles 29-23 in overtime. (Andy Jacobsohn/The Dallas Morning News)

Marinelli Report

Nobody is saying that it isn't great news that the Cowboys have discovered how great David Irving and Terrell McClain can be -- that is fantastic news. Their development and subsequent effects on the game have been a very important factor for this defense in 2016.

 
But, players like Irving and McClain were supposed to be the frosting in 2016, not the cake. The cake must be the key players the Cowboys have signed long-term to change this defense into something dynamic and special. Quite simply, they need guys who can not only carry out a scheme, but consistently "win" against their man.
That is a distinction we don't often elaborate on, but you must learn the difference to properly study a defense. The 11-man unit can use scheme and tactics to get advantages, but that is difficult to pull of consistently in a sport where very wise men are organizing every detail of every moment. Scheme is important, but what makes a defense special is when you have guys that are accounted for by the opponent who whip the men in front of them to destroy a play. They did not sneak up on you -- you just didn't neutralize them.
Those are the types of players you pay to keep and build your defense around. Unfortunately, the Cowboys have not had enough of these guys who "defy the Xs and Os" and just cannot be blocked. But they have made major investments in two guys in their front seven, and on Sunday, they were the difference on defense by consistently "winning" against the guy across from them.
Tyrone Crawford (5 years/$45 million) and Sean Lee (6 years/$42 million) are the two players the Cowboys have invested heavily in and for many reasons -- health, supporting cast, roles -- but they have not exactly paid off their promise with delivery.
But there is reason to believe both are now back in the middle of the Cowboys' defensive success, which has now shown us seven games of evidence over which the defense has not allowed 24-plus points even one time this year. Fourteen sacks and 10 takeaways get them up to "league average" numbers and they held Philadelphia under 300 total yards, which will win almost any game against anybody.
First, Lee, who turned 30 this summer, experienced a stretch from 2012 to 2014 when he was "always hurt" and made many of us think he chose a profession that his body could not withstand. During that time, he played in just 17 of 48 games and was listed as a player who could not be depended upon -- surely, something that drove him a bit crazy to hear.
Since 2014, he has returned and continued to play with reckless abandon. Last year, he actually suffered two more concussions and, at times, still showed signs of his injury past. But, as we reach the halfway point of 2016, he has been available for 23 of the past 24 games. That sort of attendance record suggests he may be shaking his reputation, all while playing at a very high level. In fact, let's not just talk about it. Let's prove it, from Sunday, when I credited him with 3.5 splash plays:
This one is a simple third-down stop. Drop in your zone to the sticks, then come up and make the stop and get off the field. Third-down stops are among the most important part of a linebacker's job, and Lee has not really missed on much at all this year. Not highlight-film stuff, it but ends a drive.
This, above, is a thing of beauty. I edited the tape to show his pre-snap genius. Look at this guy. He knows the play and quickly adjusts to get Hitchens and Crawford out wider. Jack Crawford is told to set the edge and force the play back inside. Lee is there, and this is about as good as you can play the position against Darren Sproles. Brilliant stuff here. The key is also to look at the right guard for Philadelphia trying to reach-block Lee. Fat chance.
Later, on what might be the play of the game -- this crucial third down in the fourth quarter -- the Eagles are going to try to get a screen to Sproles out on the edge. I know it sounds like lip service to say Sean Lee knows the play before it happens, but how else would you explain this? Jason Kelce, the Eagles' center, is going to try to get to him, but that is not close, either. Lee blows it up for another tackle for loss that drives the Eagles out of field-goal range (where they would have gone back up by 10 points) and forces a punt.
Finally, this one, where he gets no credit in the box score, but I gave him a half splash for making this play happen. First, he sells the fact that he is on Sproles again, but he is deceiving the Eagles' pass protection. J.J. Wilcox will get Sproles after Lee blitzes right down Main Street, so I think he should get credit for part of this sack.
He hasn't been like this every week, and I wonder how much of it is babysitting the rest of the linebackers and just not playing full speed with the confidence that everyone else has their responsibilities down. But Sunday, he was awesome.
And then there's Crawford, who has had a very interesting career and is still just 26 years old. He missed 2013 with injury, then was the Cowboys' best defensive lineman in 2014. This made the Cowboys lock him down before free agency to a big deal, to which he responded (like Dez Bryant) by disappointing in Year 1 by playing all year with a shoulder injury and just not taking over many games like he had done the year before.
This year, the Cowboys had a massive problem at defensive end. Their solution was to take their best defensive tackle and to put him at defensive end. I hate this premise because I want my best option at each spot. I was wrong. Getting Tyrone Crawford out to end has changed his year. He even admits that it helps him stay healthier and the drafting of Maliek Collins has really helped this, too. Collins and Terrell McClain have probably been the story of the year, to be honest.
Regardless, Crawford is starting to dominate again at defensive end. I wasn't sure he had the quickness to excel out there, and we still need to see it more often, but look at this guy on Sunday:
This poor tight end is going to slow down Crawford to let the line pull around him? Tyrone thinks not, and drives down the line to end the play in the backfield.
Here is an inside stunt with a blitzer filling his lane outside. Wentz is thinking about stepping up, but then realizes that would be right into the path of No. 98. Again, Marinelli wants guys who can get going on the move and run into plays. That happened right here. Scheme wins.
Here is a zone run where there is so much "white" flashing at the running back that he has no idea what path to choose. Crawford is waiting for the backside cut, but to be honest, so many Cowboys are winning on this play that Crawford was just the man to end it. Nos. 58 and 97 deserve good grades here, too. Just look at Crawford jacking that poor tight end back again. What a strength mismatch. This is what you don't get to do when you play 3-technique.
Here is Crawford on the front side of a zone play, setting the outside edge and then just closing out the play himself. This is beast-level play from a defensive end against the run. There is nothing else to really describe. He is ending these runs by himself. These last few plays also demonstrate how mediocre the Eagles are up front -- a topic that isn't being discussed enough.
Aside from that sack above in the Sean Lee clips that he also was credited for, here is his last play, which is really just a chance to recover a fumble that Terrell McClain makes available. The right guard is going to pull here and Crawford and McClain are both going to destroy their blockers to end this play -- and this drive -- right here. Wow.
If Sean Lee and Tyrone Crawford are going to start taking over games, the Cowboys are going to be OK on defense.

WEEKLY DATA

Those are all magnificent numbers. ... 4.1 yards per play? That is the lowest the Cowboys have held an opponent since the Colts game in 2014. Dominant effort that is being a bit overlooked this week. But, you don't hold NFL teams to 4.1 a play very often. Five times in the past 10 years, to be exact.

CARSON WENTZ PASSING CHART

My guy, John Daigle, makes these charts each week for us to show where they are looking on the field to attack. You can see here, this is a horizontal passing game. The deep throws are these slants at the five- to seven-yard depth. The Eagles have a great passing quarterback who can throw the ball very, very well. But their supporting cast is not good and their coach is Andy Reid's student. We have seen this quite a bit in Kansas City over the years.

SPLASH PLAYS

And here, you can see how the season standings look. We are starting to see the familiar names head to the top.

SEASON SPLASH TOTALS

Where is DeMarcus Lawrence on this list? I wish I knew.

SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

The defense has been able to stay reasonably healthy here for a while, which means it is time to lose a couple pieces. Barry Church and Morris Claiborne will both miss most, if not all of November now, so the secondary will use a lot more Anthony Brown and J.J. Wilcox than anyone had planned a while back.
This will be a factor, but attrition is the name of the game.
Otherwise, I don't know how you aren't delighted with what the past month has revealed about the defense. You spend all summer fretting about the Cowboys being abused on defense, and then they are fourth in the league in points allowed on Nov. 2.
Long ways to go, but this defense has exceeded expectations so far. Once again, you have to be impressed with what Rod Marinelli (and the personnel department) has put on the field.

Tuesday, November 01, 2016

Decoding Linehan - Week 7 - Philadelphia

http://sportsday.dallasnews.com/dallas-cowboys/cowboys/2016/11/01/sturm-decoding-linehan-education-dak-prescott-continues



Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) runs the ball during the second quarter of their game against the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday, October 30, 2016 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. (Ashley Landis/The Dallas Morning News)
Staff Photographer
Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) runs the ball during the second quarter of their game against the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday, October 30, 2016 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. (Ashley Landis/The Dallas Morning News)

Decoding Linehan

One of the most cliched "coachisms" is when they discuss things that need to be better, despite the final score looking favorably on an effort. "It is better to learn after a win." The idea that a guy is already beat up after a loss. You don't need to keep punishing him in the film room. Sometimes, you have no choice, but isn't it better to look at this film after a win?

 
In other words, how good can a team or player become if you can still win a game with this much that can be done better?
The Cowboys won a game on Sunday that looked like a loss for most of it. In fact, they were down to about a five percent chance of winning early in the fourth quarter if you believe win probabilities.
And they won a game with a rookie quarterback looking quite a bit like a rookie quarterback for much of the game. He was rattled, confused and looked plenty "off."
And the great news is he kept fighting and scrapping and refused to get discouraged. He looked a very impressive opponent in the face and asked, "Is that all you got?" He is a very impressive young man and I am sure he will be better from this performance.
The crazy part? He also just did something that Tony Romo never accomplished. On Sunday, Dak Prescott led the Cowboys to yet another 400-yard offensive day. This was the Cowboys' fifth in a row, and if you go back to 2006 -- the start of the Romo era -- you cannot find a streak longer than four. You can find several years when they didn't have five 400-yard days all season (2006, 2008, 2013 and 2015). Prescott has engineered five straight, with his fifth being a day when he knows he had a rough go and there were yards everywhere to be had.
This is life in the NFL. This is the growth process. That Eagles game will be tough for him to watch, but it will undoubtedly make him a better quarterback.
We are going to look at seven plays here where the offense looked "off" and try to find reasons for it. We will mostly ignore the good plays from the offense to keep this blog reasonable in length, but we also realize anyone reading this piece knows that we don't have to offer "equal time" to make everyone feel warm and fuzzy. You watched the game. You know about the good plays, too. Let's try to figure out what the Eagles were doing so well.
First, they were blitzing a lot. They brought more pressure than anyone all season -- by quite a bit. This, despite the Eagles not being a pressure team all season before the Vikings game the week before.
Now, here are some of the problematic plays from Sunday:
First drive, third and 12. This is a throw Dak has made all year. The Eagles are bringing one more than the Cowboys can block, but he does have Beasley out by the sticks. Just a poor throw. But look at the blitz arriving. Prescott now knows that third-and-long is going to be an adventure if Jim Schwartz is testing him hard.
Second and 9, Cowboys go 12 personnel and want to set up play-action. Now, if you do that, understand that you only have two receivers in route. The Eagles are prepared for the Cowboys' tendencies and know that 12 personnel with Nos. 88 and 83 on the same side means 88 is the guy likely to attract the attention deep, so Terrance Williams will run an outside breaking route underneath Dez to the sideline. That is where Dak goes.
Instead, the linebacker, Mychal Kendricks (No. 95), has done his film study and is going to undercut that favorite route. Dak is going to see that and throw the ball away. If he throws it right at Williams, Kendricks might walk into the end zone. This is actually a good decision, although it looked bad on Sunday.
Here is that end-zone interception. You can see the Eagles are using Cover 1 with a rat in the hole to basically play safety underneath and read Dak's eyes. This might be the small issue with overconfidence from a quarterback. You start to ignore what you know. In the red zone, you just can't flirt with traffic. It is a quick-instinct game, but that throw to the flat for Beasley is where you have a numbers advantage and it is only second down. At worst, you want a field goal. Don't play with all of that traffic inside. He tried to use Witten as a decoy and Jordan Hicks knew that trick. Very poor decision.
Third and 8 and the Eagles go Cover 0! No safety. That means they can bring one more than you can block and Dak must get rid of the ball quickly. Look to the bottom, where the Cowboys have everyone but Dez and it looks like Beasley and Williams are running into each other. Dak has no choice. I don't think he is trying to hook up with Dez as much as he is just trying to get rid of it here. I don't blame him for being surprised that the Eagles are playing Cover 0. They don't do that much, but that was their plan all night. Blitz and blitz and blitz some more. That blitz total above is just on pass plays, but they were run-blitzing all night, too.
This is third and goal from the 5. Cowboys are down 20-10 and this is the drive with the fake punt. The pressure right now is maximized and Dak just wants to make a play. But man, you just can' t do this. This is his teaching moment. I imagine he will look at this with Scott Linehan and decide to never try this again. Williams saves him with an offensive pass interference, but this is just poor quarterback play, all in the name of trying to make something special happen.
The boys up front look fooled here. The Eagles bluff a blitz and then back off one side. This makes the Cowboys slide protection to the left, which then leaves a free guy off Doug Free's outside shoulder. Now he comes untouched and again, with 3:19 to play, you have to know it is first down. On first down, we don't play "hero ball." Throw the ball out of bounds. Instead, he tries to make the guy miss and still get it out to Brice Butler. And the corner out there almost ends the game. Very lucky this one is not picked off and the dream ends there. But, to Dak's credit, he threw the game-tying touchdown on the very next play. Sometimes, it is better to be lucky than good. Other times, it helps to be both.
This last one is just another Cover 0 blitz, as the Eagles are now just rolling the dice to stay in the game. Man, they were risky. And here, the Cowboys have a chance to end the game. Unfortunately, Dez and Dak are not on the same page. Again, we have Witten and Butler running into each other, but with no safety, all you have to do is throw it out there and Dez should at least put you in field-goal range. Just put air under the ball and hope he can find it. I am not saying this is quarterback error, because I would love to know what happened. But wow, this is the game right here on a stick. What a missed opportunity that hopefully, next time, won't get away.
So, you may read this and look at these clips and say you need Romo back. I would caution against that thinking because Romo, vs. this Eagles blitz, may not last until halftime, physically. The Eagles were not playing around on Sunday and the fact that Dak survived, had a 99 quarterback rating in the second half and engineered several late scoring drives says a lot. Romo is a great player, but I am not sure you beat the Eagles without a fully mobile and strong quarterback like Prescott.
In other words, a win with 460 yards of offense is his bad day. What a story this kid is.

WEEKLY DATA BOX

Above, you can see a few things that stick out. For me, we are seeing some regression on third down. Over the past two weeks, the Cowboys have slowed their ridiculous pace on third down and went just 7 for 25 against Green Bay and Philadelphia. That is far below the 50 percent they were at before that stretch.
We also haven't even looked at the running game, but make no mistake, they were challenged and pretty much shut down on outside runs, but they kept plugging away and eventually found success in the middle with the battering ram that is Ezekiel Elliott.

DAK PRESCOTT PASSING CHART

A rough day for sure, but those 20-yard outs are turning into his bread and butter. He is starting to hit those deep outs. This one in overtime wasn't pretty, but it certainly was effective:
That was maybe his best throw of the night. Look at Witten get across in pass protection and look at Dak -- now three hours into his night -- still standing tall in the pocket amid the chaos.
And that pass made this one possible:
From the end zone:
Speaking of people running into each other, this time it worked in the Cowboys favor.

PERSONNEL GROUPINGS

This chart shows me that the Eagles defensive personnel was not scared of the Cowboys' multiple-tight end packages that killed the Bengals and Packers. Look at 12 and 13 personnel and the yards per carry. Twelve carries for 25 yards. And on play-action they hit a few times out of this look, but nothing too damaging.
The Eagles were very well scouted and put together for this game. Their corners held up in man coverage and they kept Zeke from getting loose. I am very impressed with how the Eagles' defense matched up. I am sure they are encouraged about what this could mean going forward for their fortunes if they can build an offense that complements their defense. Because right now, they are out there by themselves, it seems.

SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

"It is better to learn after a win."
There was nothing easy or pretty about that. But, I do think it is a major step in the maturation process of the team and its rookie quarterback. They were productive and wasteful all at the same time, which is a hard thing to do in this league.
They should expect more blitzes and expect teams to examine the Eagles' moderate success and try to steal those ideas.
But what a start for this offense. They appear to be very powerful, and once Dez and Dak get on the same page, you can see more opportunities ahead.