Redskins Week

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Redskins Thoughts for this Sunday:

I think it is a good, but not great matchup for the Cowboys. The Redskins are using their weapons with a lot more efficiency with Jim Zorn the last few weeks, as it appears they have some clue what to do with Santana Moss (this always seemed an issue with Joe Gibbs aside from “Go Deep”). Now, with Cooley, Portis, Moss, El, And using Devin Thomas plenty more each week (Like Felix Jones), the Redskins have plenty of weapons to keep a drive alive and not ask Jason Campbell to make tough throws. Hit the weapons in the flats and let them get yards after the catch.
On Defense, they still lack a real pass rush that provides pressure consistenly, but I have really liked what I see from Carlos Rogers who is now locking down players like Larry Fitzgerald with some fine effectiveness. Fitz had a huge TD last week, but that was on a zone play where Rogers let him go. Otherwise, Rogers is looking to jump routes and cause problems.

The Cowboys should win, but the Redskins are gaining some confidence. And, they recently can say they play the Cowboys pretty well, so I have this game closer than Vegas does.

Dallas 28, Washington 21
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3rd Down Conversion Stats:

The Cowboys are #1 in the NFL in 3rd Down Conversions:

Here are the top 10 (Converted - Attempts - Percentage)

1 Dallas Cowboys 21 35 60
2 San Diego Chargers 19 35 54
3 Denver Broncos 15 30 50
4 Philadelphia Eagles 19 40 48
5 Indianapolis Colts 16 35 46
5 New York Giants 16 35 46
7 Chicago Bears 20 46 44
8 New Orleans Saints 16 37 43
9 Baltimore Ravens 12 28 43
10 Arizona Cardinals 17 40 42
10 Green Bay Packers 17 40 42

And the Bottom 10

23 Minnesota Vikings 13 41 32
24 Pittsburgh Steelers 11 35 31
24 Washington Redskins 11 35 31
26 Tennessee Titans 12 39 31
27 Miami Dolphins 10 34 29
28 Detroit Lions 9 34 26
29 Oakland Raiders 10 38 26
30 Carolina Panthers 10 39 26
31 Houston Texans 6 25 24
32 St. Louis Rams 8 36 22

So, I wanted to break down the Down and Distance to show why the Cowboys are so good at this most important of stats:

3rd and Short (3rd and less than 4) = 6-8, 75%
On 4 of the 8 times, it was 2 TE sets, the other 4 was shotgun.
4 run, 4 pass. Run converted 3 of 4, Pass converted 3 of 4.
Romo: 3-4, 40 yards, TD 145.8 QB rating

3rd and Long (3rd and 4 – 10 yards) = 14-20, 70%
3 times Romo was under center, 17 times in Shotgun (S11 & S12)
2 run, 18 pass. Run converted 2 of 2, Pass was 12-18.
Romo: 13-16, 207 yards, TD, Sack 139.5 QB rating
8 Targets to Witten, 5 to Owens, 2 Crayton, 1 Barber

3rd and Really Long (3rd and More than 10) = 1-7, 14%
All 7 times were shotgun formations.
All 7 pass. One completion was Miles Austin TD in Green Bay on 3rd and 20
Romo’s line: 1-7, 52 yards, TD, INT, 58.3 QB Rating
Crayton, Bennett, Barber, Witten, Austin all target once, 2 throws Out of Bounds.

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