Showing posts with label Pass Rush. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Pass Rush. Show all posts

Thursday, December 22, 2016

Marinelli Report - Week 14 - Tampa Bay

http://sportsday.dallasnews.com/dallas-cowboys/cowboys/2016/12/22/sturms-marinelli-report-attack-athletic-defensive-ends



Dallas Cowboys defensive tackle David Irving (95) sacks Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston (3) during the fourth quarter of an NFL football game at AT&T Stadium on Sunday, Dec. 18, 2016, in Arlington. The Cowboys won the game 26-20. (Smiley N. Pool/The Dallas Morning News)
Staff Photographer
Dallas Cowboys defensive tackle David Irving (95) sacks Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston (3) during the fourth quarter of an NFL football game at AT&T Stadium on Sunday, Dec. 18, 2016, in Arlington. The Cowboys won the game 26-20. (Smiley N. Pool/The Dallas Morning News)

Marinelli Report

There is no question what the Dallas Cowboys have been seeking in their personnel department to improve this defense. They have been searching for anyone resembling DeMarcus Ware since he started wearing down in 2012 and ultimately said goodbye (thanks to that big cap number after 2013). Sure, Ware has had some nice years after that, but pay cuts are hard to handle with your original team, so he had to find a new home and the Cowboys had to get by with whatever was left.

 
Well, there wasn't much left.
So, they tried to fill the void with a number of options and have certainly not found anyone to break games open. There have been brief glimpses of DeMarcus Lawrence being the star they hoped he would be when they traded up to get him, but as we finish his third year, the Cowboys certainly envisioned more than nine sacks through the first 46 games for which he's been on the roster. Of course, we must point out that he has only played in 32 of those 46 games -- and has only started 16. Injuries and a suspension further complicate matters as we are reminded again that putting a team together is about so much more than picking the right guy at the right spot.
The problem is that he was a bit of a lone wolf. When you trade a second and a third-rounder to get him while spending every other resource on your offense, you sure are hoping he can do it on his own. Then you decide to cement your investment with Randy Gregory, a guy with enough talent to own the draft and enough red flags to make everyone pass on you. The Cowboys are still waiting for his first sack, which is a considerably lower number than you would imagine 30 games into his career. Of those 30, he has been in uniform for 12. Again, injury and suspension. Or in his case, injury, suspension ... and suspension.
That left the team in a bit of a mess, given they knew they would enter the season with no defensive ends to speak of. Luckily, by last March, they were adding to their ranks by signing Benson Mayowa to an offer sheet from the Oakland Raiders. Mayowa was an athletic body who has the traits of wheels and hustle -- two things Rod Marinelli seeks. It was all pretty clear to see when we studied him last March.
Add to that: the discovery of David Irving off Kansas City's practice squad last September, a player we have spent lots of time telling you about over the course of the season. Now we don't have to tell you anymore. You have seen it with your own eyes. First, he dominated the end of the Green Bay game, and now, he has taken over the fourth quarter of the Tampa Bay game.
There are many other things we could look at from this important win -- not the least of which was limiting the effects of Mike Evans and the big plays Tampa has generated all season -- but, I am a pass-rush enthusiast who enjoys seeing defensive players destroy rallies. It doesn't happen much around here in this post-Ware era we are living in, but when it happens, it is just glorious.
And it happened Sunday night. I have GIFs to prove it.

WEEKLY DATA - TAMPA BAY

So there you go. Sub-300 yards is quite excellent, and 33 percent on third downs and in the red zone is excellent. But let's not lose sight of the big ones: four sacks, four takeaways. Four sacks equal the best this season (with the Cleveland and Cincinnati games) and four takeaways equal the big night in Green Bay. That is what this team needs at this time of year.
... Which may lead us back to the impact of Mayowa and Irving in the month of December. It reminds us of what happens when we, in the words of Jason Garrett, "affect the passer." Good things happen for the defense -- and then the team. Four takeaways mean the Cowboys have a record of 9-3 in the past decade. Four sacks mean a record of 26-12 during that stretch. But four sacks and four takeaways in one game? Well, it never happens (only one other time in the past decade). When it does, since 1990, the Cowboys are a 11-1, with most of those results coming when the Cowboys were winning Super Bowls.
So, yeah, four and four is really, really good.

JAMEIS WINSTON THROW CHART

So, you want a gunslinger to be your quarterback? Jameis Winston is your jam. He will throw it into traffic and he don't care. He will make spectacular plays and he will make spectacularly poor plays, too. It is the only way. There is no such thing as a gunslinger who never makes a mistake. It simply tests your threshold of pain. But there is a quarterback who will work the middle of the field, for all of you people who want more of that. Notice the yellow dots. Those are bad. He also had a touchdown that should have been picked off, too.

SPLASH PLAYS - WEEK 14

This was a really impressive job by the defense to take the game over late. Just splash play after splash play, as Tampa got the ball five times in the fourth quarter and had a chance to win the game on each occasion. The Cowboys did not allow it. Very impressive job of closing by the team.
Here are the season totals for splashes:

2016 SPLASH TOTALS

So let's take a look at those plays from the D-line and, most specifically, Mayowa and The David Irving Show.
This first one is a sack and fumble takeaway as Terrell McClain destroys the center, and then flies horizontally to get to Winston and knock the ball free. That is about as athletic a move as you will see from a defensive tackle. Wow. Beautiful job from the big man, and then Maliek Collins gets to the ball.
Here is a Mayowa tackle for loss, but watch Irving make it happen by rerouting the running back right to Mayowa with his amazing get-off at the snap, jumping right into the backfield. So much of defensive line play is not who makes the play, but who makes the play that allows someone else to make the play. I suggest No. 95 makes this play to allow No. 93 to clean it up. Great work. And then the quarterback tries to headbutt a linebacker in a strange -- but true -- development.
OK, on to the fourth quarter ... Look at this. Just watch Irving knock Gosder Cherilus to the side with some variation of the Reggie White "arm hump" move. It takes a very strong man with good leverage (and a poor right tackle) to pull this off, but you don't see this happen very much. Good gosh.
A few plays later, Irving has Cherilus terrified and on roller skates with this speed-to-power move, where he gets a piece of the ball. Irving is now in the zone. And when you affect the passer and get a piece of the ball, interceptions happen. That is Irving's play that Jeff Heath cleans up.
Inside stunt on the next drive puts Irving right down Main Street, and Winston is wondering what it would take for someone to block this guy that they hardly worried about all week. McClain (No. 97) goes wide, Sean Lee (No. 50) charges forward, and then Irving is in Winston's lap and spikes the ball backward.
Next, here is another run wide at Irving's side that he stops and reroutes. When he does, there is Mayowa on the backside to clean it up. Again, No. 93 makes the play, but Nos. 95 and 97 cause it. No stats to prove it, but tell me this isn't Irving and McClain's play. This is defensive line play in a nutshell, and why the All-22s are vital to evaluate.
There is 2:58 to go, and this is another Irving sack. Collins is beating his guy, too, but he can't beat his guy as fast as Irving can beat his. It is absurd how they are destroying the Tampa line.
The final drive now, and so many Tampa blockers are worried about No. 95 that the Cowboys are able to finally close Winston down with others. This is the idea: You want others to get opportunities because of one man's domination. This time, Collins shows his fine rookie credentials again. He is a real find.
One last moment as Winston tries to find Evans, and Irving gets another swat and piece of the ball. This is why putting basketball forwards at defensive end and tackle makes so much sense. It is very difficult to pass the ball while trying to avoid their arms.
How did you like that show? Such domination from a guy the Cowboys got for free.

SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

The No. 1 question I got this week was: "Why doesn't David Irving play more?" But, I do want to stress that this is likely the design for a player like him, and even Benson Mayowa. You are not 60-snap guys. You are 25-snap guys who can be inserted and see a buried, red-lined RPM needle for each snap you are out there. Do not ration your energy. Go full speed at all times when you are on the field, and I think they are doing that.
Make them full-time and maybe this speed cannot be sustained. In other words, I think this and the end of the Green Bay game were both products of the Cowboys putting Irving and, now Mayowa, in roles that are paying off big time. Fresh bodies late to close out games.
Good show.

Wednesday, October 08, 2014

Marinelli Report - Week 5 - Houston

As we go through a season evaluating and discussing the work of Scott Linehan and Rod Marinelli, it is a good exercise as we go to ask ourselves to consider what they are dealing with.

In this particular case, if Houston and Ryan Fitzpatrick are coming to town, how will we handle him as a defense?  For instance, how will the challenges that he offers differ from those that New Orleans brought to the table?  With Houston, you see a team that has trouble doing too much offensively, despite solid WR personnel and a real good (but maybe not fully fit) RB.  It seems they have a QB who is pretty pedestrian and is not a threat to use his legs.  

So, the conclusion that we come up with is to bring pressure.  But, we are also facing a game without Bruce Carter at LB, meaning plenty of rookie LB Anthony Hitchens.  So, how do we bring pressure without dedicating too many numbers to pass rush and then have to live with poor man-to-man coverages behind them that might not fit our personnel?

Zone blitzing.  Or, as Jason Garrett referenced: 
"Obviously we have not had huge sack numbers, but I do think we are affecting the QB and making him uncomfortable.  We didn't have the big losses but we were around him.  You affect him with individual pass rush and you affect him with dogs and blitzes you might bring, and I think were able to do that even though we didn't have many sacks."  
So, when he says something like that, I think it is important to know what that means on the film.  

Anyone can use the Madden approach (and find out why NFL coaches don't think like Madden players very often) and sell-out blitzes that expose you for big plays, but what about these "dog" concepts?  Well, the dog is just an interchangeable coaching term for zone blitzes that obviously have now been in our game for a very long time.  They once were the new play-toys that Dick LeBeau dazzled so many with, but now, this is without question the easiest ways to try to create confusion and some chaos as you design a defensive game plan with the idea of "attacking without exposing."

Bring pressure and still play safer zones behind it.  

Let's look at an example of confusing pressure with only 4:


So, now you are Ryan Fitzpatrick.  It is 3rd Down and 10 of the 1st drive.  Look above without cheating by looking at the picture below.  You see the pressure options as Marinelli has lined up 7 players across the line of scrimmage.  The offense looks it over and has to identify which spots are most likely to rush.  From left to right, Wilcox-Spencer-Melton-Durant-McClain-Crawford-Mincey.

So, who is blitzing?  How many?


The answer is 4.  All 4 on the defensive left, 0 on the defensive right.  In fact, if you go back to Frame #1, you will see that 55-McClain was on the right, now handles the left part of the shallow zone.  Mincey, the DE is now zoning opposite of McClain on the right.  And who has the TE in man to man?  How about Tyrone Crawford - your defensive tackle???  Fitzpatrick is looking at him and waiting for him to shake loose, but what he doesn't see is 27-Wilcox sneaking around and about to hit him.  Or affect the passer.  Incomplete pass - punt.

So, they didn't "blitz" - just a 4 man pass rush.  But, they did make the offense do mental gymnastics to set protection and they did get to the passer in a complex and interesting way.  That is coaching and scheme and making the most of what you have.

You better not do it again like that much, because Houston is now looking at punishing you for putting DTs on TEs, but you got away with it on 3rd and long.

Now, this one.


Look above, Cowboys look like a very basic 4 man front on 2nd and 2.  This is 2 snaps before the Scandrick interception.  So, who is rushing and how many?


Well, this time, it is a 5-man rush, but Hitchens is coming from off the screen on the left, while Mincey is again dropping to get the slot WR who just happens to be Andre Johnson (are you brave enough to throw this idea out at the coaches meeting?).  55-McClain is going to try to shoot the B-gap once Hitchens draws the RT and Selvie engages the RG.


Look at Fitzpatrick in every frame.  He can't believe they are doing this again.  And he is waiting for Johnson to expose Mincey with the middle now vacated by McClain.  So there is the defensive decision.  Do we rush 4 and leave McClain to help in the middle, or do we blitz McClain and hope Mincey can hold on as long as it takes 55 to get home?


Look above at what is happening.  McClain is free.  Fitzpatrick has his arm cocked.  Mincey is trying to stay with a veteran WR and Johnson is trying to figure out what is going on.  This is the beauty of football chess.  Fitzpatrick is guessing how Johnson will see this and leads him into space.


Johnson disagrees with that idea and the ball falls to the ground with nobody even close to it.  

In both cases, the Cowboys are trying creative ways to steal downs and to not resort to blitzing 6 or 7, but still to get near the QB and try to trick him enough to get off the field.  They never blitzed more than 5, but brought 5 on 11 occasions out of 26 (which is a high number for Marinelli - and as you will see below, they blitzed a ton until they got the lead).  But, in each case, it was a different look with different rushers.  

The basic math is actually simple.  The offense has as many as 5 targets to cover.  So, in turn, your options are limited to your resources.  Send 4, you can cover 5 receivers with 7 in a multitude of ways.  But, if you send 6, now only 5 defenders remain for 5 receivers (man to man).  Therefore, unless you have all superb man cover guys or you don't mind risk all over the field, you have to figure out ways to blitz sparingly and to bring "dogs" the rest of the time.

Or, the obvious solution, have rushers who can get there with 4.  That seems to be the most tried and true solution, but that one costs the same level of commitment that building an offensive line requires.    And if you have been too worried about OL to spend much on DL...Well, you get the idea.

=====

Here is our Gif of the week.  It is JJ Wilcox, a player I am not sold on yet, making the type of play that will sell you on him.  He saves a big play here as the Cowboys are blitzing a corner meaning JJ must get this guy down in the flat.  

There are blockers in front - this could be big.  But, Wilcox splits the blockers and gets DeAndre Hopkins down.  Well done!

=====

Here are a few submissions from Twitter for this week:




Here is another Rod Marinelli favorite - 3rd and long.  What is the plan?  See for yourself:


It is the ever popular 3-6-2 zone.  The Texans need 20, so my line of 6 is at about 15 yards, with some safeties at 25.  If you watch the plays, it ends up looking like a kick return with collisions and bodies everywhere.  I imagine offenses will have a counter to this, but it looks pretty sound strategically as long as everyone swarms when the screen concept which gets many lead blockers out in front of a shifty small back (Darren Sproles/Percy Harvin) in space.  It is not fool-proof (or everyone would do it) but so far it looks like it is confusing the offenses.  

DEFENSIVE PARTICIPATION: No Bruce Carter and no Morris Claiborne means we start to test the depth.  5 defenders played every snap: Durant, Carr, Scanrick, Wilcox, and Church.  The rest rotate throughout (although Rolando McClain is out there all snaps, too, until he aggravated his groin).  Tyrone Crawford and Jeremy Mincey are playing the most on the DL with snaps around 45, with Hayden and Selvie around 35, Spencer and Melton around 25, and Crawford and J McClain under 20.  It is tough to fully decipher what is health related and what is role related.  But, I do think it is worth noting that Tyrone Crawford has gone from being a piece to THE piece.  Hitchens played 34 snaps and Kyle Wilber was the only other LB to get a snap and he had 1.  Sterling Moore took 38 snaps and otherwise, no other DB played than those 5.  Thanks, Pro Football Focus for the exact math on the snap counts.

WEEK 5 VS HOUSTON - DEFENSIVE NUMBERS


Run Plays31
Pass Plays25
Avg Starting PositionO26
3rd Down Conversions4-13, 31%
4th Down Conversions1-1, 100%
Yards Per Play5.9
Yards Per Pass Attempt6.2
Red Zone TDs - Drives2-3, 67%
Takeaways1

In a league where 4 teams give up less than 5 yards a play (Miami, Detroit, Buffalo, and Seattle), the Cowboys are 32nd in this stat, surrendering 6.38 yards per play.  When you factor in the opposing QB they have played, this remains troubling.

It can be equalized with 3rd Down defense and Takeaways.  They are basically a league average 3rd Down defense through 5 games (opponents are 43.1% on 3rd (15th) and the league average is 42.1%) and they are tied for 10th in takeaways with 9.

Fingers crossed.

SPLASH PLAYS

First, a reminder of what a splash play is: 

What is a splash play? Well, for purposes of this blog I believe a splash play will include the following: A sack, a pressure that forces a bad throw, and big hit on the QB, and a batted ball that may lead to an interception opportunity. Again, you can see how this leads to subjectivity, but a subjective breakdown is better than no breakdown at all, I have decided. In addition, a splash play will include tackles for loss, a big hit for a short gain, or a stop which is an open field tackle where a player is pulled down on 3rd down short of the marker because of an exceptional effort from a defender. An interception is clearly a splash play, but so is a defended pass that required a great effort. A major hit in the secondary could be a splash play, but I believe that the outcome of the play will determine that. Sorry, defensive backs, but standing over a guy who just caught a 15 yard pass because you think you hit him hard will not generally pass the test on this blog. So, stop doing it. 
I am trying to be careful about handing out too many splash plays per game. I am trying to be picky, but too extreme in either direction. When I log a splash play, I will put time of the game on the chart so that if you want to review the same game and challenge my ruling, you are welcome to do so. Also, if multiple players deserve recognition on a single play, we will try to see that as well. 
Basically, we are trying to assign a value to making plays on the defense. We don't want to just see sacks and interceptions. We want to see broader definitions of splash plays to assign credit to those who help the Cowboys get off the field in important situations. These rankings will not deduct for negative plays at this point. There are simply too many occasions where we are guessing, and for now, I want to avoid that for this particular idea.  
A splash play is a play that makes a major difference in the game. And by keeping it all season long, we will see which defenders are play makers and which are simply warm bodies. We already have our thoughts on both categories, but let's see if we can dig a bit deeper and actually have numbers to back up our claims.
SPLASHES VS HOUSTON WEEK 5

Q-TimeD/D/YdPlayerPlay
1-15:001/15/O15Carr/SelvieStop No Gain
1-13:533/10/O20WilcoxPass Breakup
1-11:171/10/D40Scandrick Interception
1-1:232/6/O42T CrawfordHolding Drawn
1-0:542/16/O32ScandrickPass Defended
2-8:031/10/O22CarrPass Defended
2-7:332/15/O17WilcoxBig Hit and Stop
2-5:442/10/D43WilcoxPass Defended
3-6:081/10/O20T CrawfordTackle For Loss
3-5:282/11/O19T CrawfordHolding Penalty Drawn
4-12:463/6/O12McClain3rd Down Stop
4-6:471/10/D39Selvie/DurantRun Stop
4-5:223/9/D38Moore3rd Down Stop
4-2:363/4/D11MinceyBig QB Pressure
5-13:113/2/D48MinceyBig QB Pressure

Lots of JJ Wilcox and Tyrone Crawford this week.  Hurray 2012 and 2013 drafts!

2014 SEASON TOTALS

PlayerTotalPlayerTotal
1. CB Sterling Moore             811. LB Justin Durant3
2. LB Bruce Carter7.512. LB Anthony Hitchens   2.5
2. LB Rolando McClain7.513. CB Morris Claiborne2
4. DT Tyrone Crawford713. DT Nick Hayden2
5. S JJ Wilcox6.515. DE George Selvie1.5
6. CB Orlando Scandrick616. LB Cam Lawrence0.5
7. DT Henry Melton4.516. LB Kyle Wilber0.5
7. CB Brandon Carr4.516. DE Jack Crawford0.5
9. S Barry Church3.5
9. DE Jeremy Mincey3.5
Team Totals                 71

I just tally the totals, I don't explain them all the time.  If you had told me that Sterling Moore would be leading this category through 5 games, I would say the Cowboys are 1-4.  The rest seems to add up a bit better.

Career Totals
2013 Totals
2011 Totals

===========

PASSING CHART

During the Marinelli Report, we attempt to chart how the opposing quarterback fared against the DAL pass rush (unlike Decoding Linehan, when we chart drive progression). The key in the bottom end zone defines how many rushers came during a given throw. Each line entails where the ball was thrown from, trailing to the (general) point where it was caught.  Dotted lines are incomplete passes.

Week 5 Summary

Though the Blitz Report at the bottom will report an uncharacteristic number of blitzes (or, uncharacteristic as to what we've grown accustomed to this season), blitzes were only sent as a mean to gaining the lead. Through the first three quarters, for instance, the Cowboys blitzed during an uncanny 66 percent (10-15) of their opposing snaps. Once they entered the final quarter with a 10-point lead, however, those blitz numbers regressed to the tune of 9 percent (1-11) for the remainder of the game.



PRESSURE REPORT

This segment of the defensive study is simply to find out how well the Cowboys are doing at getting pressure on the opposing QB.  We have spent a good part of the offseason talking about Monte Kiffin's philosophy that, like so many of the great 4-3 schemes, is based on using blitz as a weapon, not a necessity.  If you use the blitz as an ambush weapon that is always threatened but only used at the perfect times, you can often get free runs at the QB.  If, on the other hand, you must use the blitz because your normal pressure is not getting it done, then the offense usually is waiting for you and prepared - so even 6 rushers don't accomplish much.

EXPLOSIVE PLAYS ALLOWED (+20 Yards)

Q-TimeD/D/YdPlayRushers
3-9:342/6/D48Foster Left End, +334
4-1:591/10/D45Fitzpatrick to Johnson, +204
OT-15:001/10/O20Foster Middle, +244

SACKS AND INTERCEPTIONS


Q-TimeD/D/YdPlayRushers
1-11:171/10/D40Scandrick INT                        4

PERFORMANCE AGAINST THE BLITZ

Each week we calculate how opposing quarterbacks fare against the Dallas blitz. Consider this the raw data behind the passing chart.

Wk 1 - Colin Kaepernick: 4/8, 74 Yds, 1 TD, 1 SACK
Wk 2 - Jake Locker: 3/6, 22 Yds
Wk 3 - Austin Davis: 4/7, 42 Yds, 1 INT
Wk 4 - Drew Brees: 6/8, 68 Yds, 1 TD
Wk 5 - Ryan Fitzpatrick: 6/11, 41 Yds, 2 FD

2014 Total: 23/40, 247 Yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 2 FD -  81.9 QB Rating

BLITZ REPORT

Each week we monitor how often the Cowboys send pressure on passing plays.

Clearly, they thought they could turn up the heat on Fitzpatrick and he won't beat you.

Pass Rushers Against HOU in 26 pass rush/blitz situations:

Wk 1 - SF: 9/21 - Blitzed 33.3%
Wk 2 - Tenn: 6/38 - Blitzed 15.7%
Wk 3 - STL: 7/42 - Blitzed 16.6%
Wk 4 - NO: 8/46 - Blitzed 17.3%
Wk 5 - HOU: 11/26 - Blitzed 42.3%

2014 Total: 41/173 - Blitzed 23.6% 

2013 Totals:  140/673 - 20.8%
2012 Totals:  134/551 - 24.3%


Pass Rushers3 Rush4 Rush5 Rush6+ RushTotals
1st Down03 -
50%
3 -
50%
06 -
23%
2nd Down05 -
50%
5 -
50%
010 -
38%
3rd Down1 -
11%
5 -
55.5%
3 -
33%
09 -
34%
4th Down01 -
100%
001 -
3%
Totals1 -
3%
14 -
53%
11 -
42%
026


And, here are the full season numbers to date:



Pass Rushers3 Rush4 Rush5 Rush6 RushTotals
1st Down3 -
4%
48 -
70.5%
15 -
22%
1 -
1%
68 -
38%
2nd Down5 -
8%
38 -
64%
12 -
20%
4 - 6%59 -
33%
3rd Down7 -
14%
33 -
70%
4 -
8.5%
3 -
6%
47 -
26.5%
4th Down1 -
33%
2 -
66%
003 -
1%
Totals16 -
9%
121 -
68%
31 -
17.5%
9 - 5%
177


SUMMARY:  Clearly, it would be foolish to write up a report on the defense this week and not reference the extremely troubling situations where Arian Foster did whatever he wanted in the 3rd Quarter, followed by the situation in the 4th Quarter where they were absolutely on the scene when Houston almost hauled off and came all the way back with 2 late scoring drives.  

Add to that just 1 takeaway and 0 sacks again and we can see what Marinelli is trying to scheme around.  It requires a full team strategy (offense, protect your defense) to keep this ship sailing.  

This should remind us that the margins are extremely thin around here, and the simply idea of Rolando McClain leaving with an injury can turn this plucky unit into a mess.  That said, they seem to have better reserves than we have seen in the last few years, and young players are starting to emerge and gain confidence.  The story of Tyrone Crawford is gaining steam each week and now we are wondering if they might prefer him to Henry Melton with all things being equal at that 3-technique.  What a great problem to have.

This defense is based on being assignment-sound, creating confusion and chaos for the opposition without exposing your own weaknesses, and more than anything - flying to the football with all 11.

When you do watch this defense on film - including those plays shown above (especially the Wilcox play) you can see the effort level on all 11 on the field.  That is vital and can assist in making sure any shortcomings in talent is compensated for with effort and fire.  That can only take you so far, but it can take you a bit.  

Seattle will test this defense in extraordinary ways - in particular if Carter and McClain are down (and I don't see how they aren't).  The Seahawks have a real interesting offense that really attacks from sideline to sideline with horizontal principles (lots of jet sweep action and counters combined with zone stretch plays to the strong side behind a massive offensive line).  This makes you respect both, and that stretches your defense from side to side and isolates the weaknesses as well as anybody.  Then, once they soften you up, they cut loose the play action for the kill shots.  They will not throw you to death, as only the Bengals have thrown fewer passes this season.  But, they will make you respect the whole field and it is all built around a QB in Russell Wilson who always keeps that passer rating above 100 and also can kill you with his legs to the tune of 7.2 per carry.   

Everyone always talks about the Seahawks defense, but don't believe the hype.  Their offense is a massive test for the Cowboys defense with speed and concepts that can give them a fine dress rehearsal for Chip Kelly and the Eagles - but with a much better QB1.  

It would be wonderful to see what the matchup would be like with #54 and #55 available (let alone #50), but that isn't how this league works.  Those who can, march on.

Wednesday, September 25, 2013

Kiffin Report - Week 3 - St Louis

About once every 2 years, the Cowboys have a day where they get to the QB for 6 sacks.  It is a rarity to apply this much pressure, so you can certainly see why the entire city is not currently in depression over the news that Anthony Spencer has possibly played his last game in Dallas due to recurring knee issues and will now undergo season-ending and career-threatening surgery.  Spencer was the leader in 2012 in splash plays for this defense and is an exceptionally under-appreciated Cowboys defender, but in this league, to have success, you must truly be a "next man up" type of squad.

They can't worry about who isn't here.  They have to worry about those they have available who can alter the outcome of this next game and this next QB.  The NFL doesn't cry over spilled milk.  It can't be undone.

So, let's focus on how the Cowboys found 6 sacks without blitzing on 5 of them.  The most unlikely preseason chatter that I repeatedly swatted down was the idea that the Cowboys would be able to "get there with 4", and apply pressure without blitzing - which is what gets them in trouble because it exposes the secondary to huge plays.

But, on Sunday, we saw the Rod Marinelli/Monte Kiffin calling cards to getting there with 4.  We saw explosive rushes from the snap and winning matchups as this group is barely recognizable.  They are playing a whole new style that is most exciting if it can last.  

And in there, we see many of the rush-games that those Tampa and Chicago defenses were known for. The twists and slants, the continuous stunts that are designed to cause confusion and to present favorable and winnable match-ups are being unleashed and executed nicely.

Let's look at 2 stunts that led to sacks on Sunday.

Play #1 - George Selvie Sack - 7:36 2nd Q

The idea here is for Selvie to go first, and to slant in and hit the guard - 62-Harvey Dahl on his outside shoulder to knock him off the 3-technique, Jason Hatcher.  Hatcher then should be able to get around the RT-72-Joe Barksdale as big Joe will be trying to recover on Selvie, thus going to his left while Hatcher will be crossing his face to the right.  This is the off-balance result that you look for in pass-rushing, and should give Hatcher outside leverage to the QB.  


In frame #2, you can see that Selvie now has Dahl swung around and facing the sideline.  Hatcher can see how spread out Barksdale's legs are and this is working quite well.  Scott Wells, #63, is looking at Rayford and figuring he needs to help out his LG - 65-Chris Williams, and is unaware that Dahl is almost on top of him.


Selvie demonstrates his fork-lift power as he has now pushed Dahl into Wells and even though he was supposed to sacrifice himself to free up Hatcher, he did it so well that Selvie now sees that he has his own angle to getting to Bradford.  Keep in mind, this is happening very quickly, even though it might not seem that way when you look frame by frame.


Selvie overpowers Dahl, and with Hatcher sealing any escape route for Bradford to his right, Selvie has his sack before his RB can even provide a safety valve.  Quick, powerful, and a player carries out his assignment so well that he was rewarded with a free path to the QB.



Play #2 - DeMarcus Ware Sack - 8:19 - 3Q

Again here, Dallas is rushing just 4, and St Louis has 3 against 2 with Dahl, Barksdale, and the RB to account for Ware and Hatcher.  You can believe that the RB is planning on an outside chip on Ware to help out his RT.  So, the Cowboys know that if Hatcher can get to the tackle on the stunt, then Ware can cut back inside and run through Harvey Dahl.  In case you are picking up on the pattern here, it is clear that the Rams' RG was the target of both of these stunts.  An attacking defense figures out your weakness and then makes you fix it or to be destroyed.


Look at Hatcher just setting the pick here.  He heads right for the inside shoulder of Barksdale (the man responsible for Ware).  Ware helps the leverage here, by taking 2 giant strides to the outside path.  This occupies the RB who is preparing to chip Ware back inside.  But, Ware has no intention of actually rushing outside.  He is just giving Hatcher time to set up his pick.  As you can see, Hatcher is now in position.


Ware is slamming on the brakes here, and Hatcher is getting to Barksdale.  All the while, Bradford is waiting for something appealing, but keep in mind that the Cowboys have 7 in coverage against just 4 Rams since they are using 6 to block 4.   Look at Dahl again.  He has no idea that he is going to have to switch to Ware.  Dahl is actually facing his own end-zone.  He has no chance once Ware plants his foot.


The blur is DeMarcus Ware.  Dahl can see him, but he can't even touch him.  Hatcher has pulled it off by taking everyone with him, leaving the Cowboys all-time sack leader to pass Harvey Martin and set his record by devouring Bradford with great ease.



In honor of Ware breaking the record, I figured I would make today's gif to show his best technique.  It is the bull-rush that Jake Long obviously wasn't ready for.  That makes Reggie White proud as Long goes flying through the air.

Amazing power.





WEEK 3 vs Rams

In our weekly splash play study, I found 19 this week against the Rams.  That is a very high number, but I think it fairly represents the number of big plays the defense was generating.

First, a reminder of what a splash play is: 

What is a splash play? Well, for purposes of this blog I believe a splash play will include the following: A sack, a pressure that forces a bad throw, and big hit on the QB, and a batted ball that may lead to an interception opportunity. Again, you can see how this leads to subjectivity, but a subjective breakdown is better than no breakdown at all, I have decided. In addition, a splash play will include tackles for loss, a big hit for a short gain, or a stop which is an open field tackle where a player is pulled down on 3rd down short of the marker because of an exceptional effort from a defender. An interception is clearly a splash play, but so is a defended pass that required a great effort. A major hit in the secondary could be a splash play, but I believe that the outcome of the play will determine that. Sorry, defensive backs, but standing over a guy who just caught a 15 yard pass because you think you hit him hard will not generally pass the test on this blog. So, stop doing it. 
I am trying to be careful about handing out too many splash plays per game. I am trying to be picky, but too extreme in either direction. When I log a splash play, I will put time of the game on the chart so that if you want to review the same game and challenge my ruling, you are welcome to do so. Also, if multiple players deserve recognition on a single play, we will try to see that as well. 
Basically, we are trying to assign a value to making plays on the defense. We don't want to just see sacks and interceptions. We want to see broader definitions of splash plays to assign credit to those who help the Cowboys get off the field in important situations. These rankings will not deduct for negative plays at this point. There are simply too many occasions where we are guessing, and for now, I want to avoid that for this particular idea.  
A splash play is a play that makes a major difference in the game. And by keeping it all season long, we will see which defenders are play makers and which are simply warm bodies. We already have our thoughts on both categories, but let's see if we can dig a bit deeper and actually have numbers to back up our claims.

Here are the final results for 2011 and here are the final results for 2012.

 Here they are for the Kansas City Game:

Q-TimeD/D/YdPlayerPlay
1-14:143/7/O23ChurchPass Broken Up
1-13:192/9/D34ClaiborneBig Hit
1-12:463/8/D33ScandrickSack
1-6:243/6/O24WareSack
1-1:351/19/O9WareRun Stuff
1-0:113/11/O17E JonesPass Batted Down
2-7:323/6/O38SelvieSack
2-3:131/10/O12WareTackle For Loss
2-1:563/6/O16ChurchPass Broken Up
2-0:202/1/O22HatcherSack
3-11:281/10/O20DurantStrip Fumble
3-11:281/10/O20LeeRecovered Fumble
3-8:161/10/D35Ware Sack
3-7:092/13/D38LeeRun Stuff
3-3:332/G/O4ChurchPass Broken Up
4-9:421/10/O38E JonesRun Stuff
4-9:072/10/O21WilberSack
4-2:001/10/50E JonesBig QB Pressure
4-1:043/5/D36ClaibornePass Defended


And now, the 3 game 2013 totals - I think the work of George Selvie has been noted all 3 weeks, but let's make sure that Barry Church is getting the recognition he is earning.  I think he keeps getting better and better.

2013 SEASON TOTALS

PlayerSplashes
Ware7
Church       7
Hatcher6
Selvie6
Lee4
Carter4
Allen3
E. Jones3
Hayden 2.5
Carr2
Claiborne     2
Durant1.5        
Scandrick1
Wilber1
Team Totals 50


===========

Pass Rush/Blitzing REPORT

This segment of the defensive study is simply to find out how well the Cowboys are doing at getting pressure on the opposing QB.  We have spent a good part of the offseason talking about Monte Kiffin's philosophy that, like so many of the great 4-3 schemes, is based on using blitz as a weapon, not a necessity.  If you use the blitz as an ambush weapon that is always threatened but only used at the perfect times, you can often get free runs at the QB.  If, on the other hand, you must use the blitz because your normal pressure is not getting it done, then the offense usually is waiting for you and prepared - so even 6 rushers don't accomplish much.

Here, we look at the big plays for (Explosives are plays 20 yards and longer) and the big plays against each week (Sacks and Interceptions) and see what role (if any) was played by the defensive coordinator.

EXPLOSIVE PLAYS ALLOWED
Q-TimeD/D/YdPlayRushers
3-11:391/10/O20Bradford to Givens, +254
3-9:351/10/O25Bradford to Givens, +295

Anytime you can get out of a game with just 2 explosive plays against - and one of them ended with Justin Durant stripping the ball away and Sean Lee recovering for a takeaway, you would definitely say you had a wonderful day at the office.

SACKS AND INTERCEPTIONS
Q-TimeD/D/YdPlayRushers
1-12:463/8/D33Scandrick Sack 5
1-6:243/6/O24Ware Sack4
2-7:323/6/O38Selvie Sack4
2-0:202/1/O22Hatcher Sack4
3-8:161/10/D35Ware Sack4
4-9:072/10/O21Wilber Sack4

Look at this!  6 sacks and you got there with 4 on 5 of them.  That is really impressive work which leads back to the ability to "get there with 4".  Ware and Hatcher seem to be threats to beat their guy on any play, and now they have active bodies joining them.  Losing Spencer is certainly going to be felt, but you have to be excited about the 3-4 active, young bodies that have been acquired with Marinelli/Kiffin's watchful eyes and templates for what they look for in defensive line play.

With each passing week, they are gathering a group that wasn't even in Oxnard with the team.  They keep churning the roster to find their group that fits their ideas.

PASSING CHART

One comment I wanted to make on Tim's passing chart that he made for Bradford's performance.  I think all of the red on the long throws demonstrates that Bradford needs to improve his deeper accuracy.  I realize there were a couple drops, but if you go back and watch the game, you see that he had some opportunities down the field and failed to make a proper, accurate throw to take advantage.  He sailed quite a few receivers and that led to his dismal performance as well.  It is very possible he was hearing footsteps after all of the early pressure.



Pass Rushers Against St Louis Rams - 57 pass rush/blitz situations:

This is very exciting to look at from my perspective as you are watching the Cowboys apply pressure throughout the game, but when you total up the number of blitzes that Monte Kiffin is using, you see it is just 11 of 57 situations.  That number falls at 19% and proves that although they are causing their fair share of chaos, it is also being done soundly and without making unwise decisions about pass coverage.

Put another way, Rob Ryan's defense blitzed 24% of the time in 2012, and still didn't generate enough pressure on the passer to be effective.  I know it is early, but if you can blitz less but get to the QB more?  Well, perhaps the Cowboys do have a couple very smart men coordinating their defense these days.  The 16 games will reveal the truth, so we cannot get carried away about how it might work against a Giants squad that has no rhythm, Alex Smith, and Sam Bradford.  Rivers and Manning are warming up in the bullpen.


Pass Rushers3 Rush4 Rush5 Rush6 Rush
Short (0-5 Yds To Go)0000
Second Level (5-10 Yds To Go)01322
Open Field (10+ Yds To Go)0000
Totals01322





Pass Rushers3 Rush4 Rush5 Rush6 Rush
Short (0-5 Yds To Go)0600
Second Level (5-10 Yds To Go)01110
Open Field (10+ Yds To Go)0201
Totals01911












Pass Rushers3 Rush4 Rush5 Rush6 Rush
Short (0-5 Yds To Go)0111
Second Level (5-10 Yds To Go)1421
Open Field (10+ Yds To Go)0300
Totals1832






Pass Rushers3 Rush4 Rush5 Rush6 Rush
Short (0-5 Yds To Go)1300
Second Level (5-10 Yds To Go)0000
Open Field (10+ Yds To Go)0100
Totals1400


And, here are the full season numbers to date:




Pass Rushers3 Rush4 Rush5 Rush6 RushTotal
1st Down3 - 5%45 - 77%7 - 12%3 - 5%58 - 38%
2nd Down1 - 2%42 - 85%4 - 8%2 - 4%49 - 32%
3rd Down2 - 5%23 - 62%7 - 18%5 - 13%37 - 24%
4th Down1 - 20% 4 - 80%005 - 3% 
Totals7 - 4%110 - 73%18 - 12%10 - 6%
149 


The game by game pressure numbers:

Wk 1 - NYG: 7/49 - 14%
Wk 2 - KC:   10/43 - 23%
Wk 3 - STL: 11/57 - 19%

2013 Totals:  28/149 - 18.7%

2012 Totals:  134/551 - 24.3%

SUMMARY:   What more can you say?  They won't happen like this very often, but you can only play who is on your schedule.  San Diego will present definite match-up issues for this defense and what you did to Sam Bradford will be irrelevant.  But, on this day, the Cowboys showed what they are capable of on their day.  

Pass rush without blitzing.  I understand if you are amazed.  It has been a while around here since we could say that.